Drafting from Pick 13 in Superflex: Mining Value After the Position Runs

Superflex logic centers on the QB Premium Window: two lineup slots can start a quarterback instead of one, so QBs jump tiers fast.

Trade Logic

• Trade up to Pick 6 to jump the tier break before it's gone.

In superflex, pick 13's trade-up target is pick 6 — Christian McCaffrey (SF, RB) (tier C2) sits right there, and with two lineup slots pulling from the same shallow QB pool, that turn bucket is exactly where the position compresses. Amon-Ra St. Brown (tier B1) is the alternative sitting in that same window if the QB run has already passed you by. There is no pick past 16 to bank a trade-down into from here, so the only real question left is whether the QB pool still has starter-caliber equity worth reaching for before the position dries up entirely. Value-tier superflex picks are about finding the passer the field has priced like a bench arm when the equity says otherwise. This deep, the discount plays are the ones with real rushing or volume equity at the position — the QB2 stash market lives here.

21+. Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Projections are for entertainment only. Not financial or betting advice.

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Sleepers & Fades

Superflex prices quarterback scarcity into every pick, so pick 13's next layer past the board above is about how fast the QB tier compresses underneath a two-starter format. Jalen Hurts (PHI, QB) posts a std_dev of 12.2 at tier A1, ECR 4; with two starting slots to fill, that swing is exactly the kind of QB-premium volatility a two-QB roster can exploit. Justin Fields (tier C2) carries a tight std_dev of 2.5, meaning the position has already settled his price — no hidden QB-premium upside left for a two-QB roster to extract. Only 35 ECR spots separate them, but in superflex the std_dev gap is the entire decision — Jalen Hurts is the QB-premium swing worth a bench stash, Justin Fields is the name whose two-QB price is already settled.